Posts Tagged ‘jake’

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Week 8 Preview – Idaho State @ BYU

October 21, 2011

After another 1-2 start, which is typical in the Bronco Mendenhall era, the Cougars have now won four games straight, against UCF, Utah State, San Jose State, and Oregon State. Last week’s win against OSU was the highest offensive output of the season, with 38 points scored. The Cougars will host FCS Idaho State this Saturday, before going on the road to Dallas next week to face TCU.

What we know about Idaho State (2-5, 1-4 Big Sky)

The best way to describe Idaho State is that they are the Washington State of the FCS subdivision. Last year, the Bengals went 1-10, with their lone win coming against Montana-Western – who plays in a division below FCS. The Bengals only managed one win in each of the last three seasons. But this year, they already have two, coming against Western State and Northern Colorado. They were trounced by  aforementioned WSU to open the season, 64-21. Idaho State is simply a very bad team, even by FCS standards.

What we know about BYU (5-2)

The Cougars seem to have gotten their act together after replacing Jake Heaps with Riley Nelson at quarterback. Nelson has been a breath of life in a team that appeared dead on its feet around halftime of the Utah State game. He has been able to lead the team in rushing the ball, revitalize the running game, and has even looked good passing the deep ball. The team should be firing on all cylinders in this game against Idaho State – I would imagine that we’ll see a perfect picture of what Doman and Bronco want this team to look like. If you want a live practice, this is as close as it gets.

Keys to the game

In honor of Idaho State, I will only have one key to this game for the Cougars: show up. Honestly. That’s all.

Prediction

The Bengals are bad. This game will not be close. Cougars win in a rout: 49-6.

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BYU 38, Oregon State 28

October 18, 2011

It seems to be another one of those Bronco Mendenhall-led BYU teams: start slow (1-2) and then get very good as the season progresses. The Cougars are now riding a four game winning streak, after cruising through Corvallis on their way to a 38-28 victory over the Beavers of Oregon State, that was not as close as the score indicates. Indeed, the cougars were up 38-21 with just 30 seconds to go. The Beavers had to rely on lucky breaks to keep things even at halftime, but the Cougars really blew things open in the second half and ended up having an easy victory. I will happily admit that I was wrong – I guessed a close, low-scoring game at 23-16. Here’s a look at what went right, and wrong for the Cougars in their big win.

The return of "power" running to BYU

Keys to the game

Doman. I keep expecting opposing teams to be able to adjust to Riley’s style of play and shut him down late in the game, but it’s not happening. I’ll give partial credit to Doman on this – he’s obviously been able to more fully implement his offense under Riley, and has been able to keep defenses from keying on Riley because of the variety of ways he has to get rid of the ball.

Nelson. Riley had another solid game: 17/27 for 217 yards, 3 TDs and 1 INT. Oh and an additional 87 yards rushing, good enough to lead the team in that category. He averaged nearly 13 yards per completion, and more than 7 yards per carry. Under his leadership, the team went 11/14 on third downs, and came up with nearly 500 yards of offense (217 passing and 282 rushing).

Receivers. In the last two games, Cody Hoffman has emerged (once again) as the leader of this group. He had 9 receptions for 162 yards and a touchdown – that’s 18 yards per catch. Falslev added three catches for 18 yards and a TD, and TE Kaneakua Friel also recorded a receiving touchdown. That marks three straight games that TEs have caught a pass for a touchdown.

The Rush Attack. Mike Alisa, like Hoffman, had another great game, to match his performance against San Jose State. Alisa rushed for 84 yards, and constantly seemed to be running over or through the first and sometimes second tacklers. He and DiLuigi each had a rushing touchdown, though Mike had a second, long rushing touchdown called back on a holding penalty. DiLuigi added 74 yards of his own, including a 41 yard scramble.

Special Teams. Justin Sorenson had an off day. I don’t recall a touchback in the game, and he only managed to connect on 1/3 field goals, one of them being blocked right before the end of the first half. He was a perfect 5/5 on PATs. The Nelson-led offense led to another slow day for Riley Stephenson, who only punted once. The Beavers missed on both of their field goal attempts as well.

Bronco D. The final score doesn’t tell the whole story here. This defense was really great against the Beavers. The Beaver O was held to just 59 rushing yards on 23 attempts (that’s a measly 2.6 yards per carry), and completed only 27/43 pass attempts. The Cougars caused and recovered two fumbles, and Brandon Ogletree and Kyle Van Noy each recorded an interception. Van Noy returned his 43 yards before being tripped up. Probably the best time of the game for the Cougar defense was the beginning of the third quarter, where three consecutive Beaver drives ended like this: interception, fumble, fumble.

What we know about Oregon State (1-5, 1-2 Pac12)

The Beavers had been hopeful about building on their win over Arizona, and reaching bowl eligibility. At this point, that dream is all but over, as OSU has three ranked teams left on its Pac 12 schedule. Next week they are going on the road to take on the Cougars of Washington State. Typically, one would have a W already penciled in on the schedule next to WSU, but the Cougars are already 3-3 this year, and they even beat the Beavers down in Corvallis last season.

What we know about BYU (5-2)

Perhaps my favorite stat through all of this is that BYU has more Pac12 wins than Utah does. :) The season looked bleak around midway through the Utah State game, as it looked like the Cougars were headed to a 2-3 record with consecutive losses to Utah State. Jake Heaps was benched in favor of Riley Nelson, and that has either been or has coincided with a revitalization of the BYU team and season – now the Cougars are 5-2, and are seriously looking at what could be a 10 win season. This week the Cougars face off against FCS (the “c” is for cupcake) Idaho State. It comes at a good time though, as BYU will be playing TCU the week after.

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Week 7 Preview: BYU @ Oregon State

October 12, 2011

After losing to Texas and Utah in consecutive weeks, the Cougars are now on a three game winning streak, and will head back out on the road to face the Oregon State Beavers in Corvallis. The Beavers haven’t been good this year, and the Cougars haven’t been great. It should be an interesting game, as both will be looking for something to build on here at the halfway point of the season.

What we know about Oregon State (1-4, 1-2 Pac12)

After going 5-7 last season, with a low point of losing at home to then 1-9 Washington State, I’m sure the Beavers had hoped for better things this season. Unfortunately for the Beavers, they have started 1-4, opening with a home loss against FCS Sacramento State. Their lone win came against Arizona (1-5) last week. Arizona’s lone win came when they actually managed to beat their FCS season-opening cupcake, Northern Arizona. What do we know about the Beavers? They aren’t a good team this year, but they do feature a decent passing attack, averaging nearly 280 passing yards per game. They have given up an average of 30 points per game, while scoring an average of just 20.

What we know about BYU (4-2)

Halfway through the season, the Cougars are nearly where I thought they would be, at least as far as their record is concerned. I expected them to be 5-1, with a loss at Texas. The Utah game was an unwelcome surprise, but I feel the team has responded well. Another unforeseen difficulty has been with Jake Heaps. Most people thought he’d be rolling along with around 1500 yards and a dozen or so touchdown passes by now. But as he has struggled, Riley Nelson has come in to replace him, for nearly the last game and a half. The Cougars are well on their way to the Armed Forces Bowl, but only time will tell if they will sort out their QB situation and get this offense really rolling by the end of the year.

Keys to the game

Doman. Coach Doman’s biggest challenge this game will be in adjusting to the Oregon State defense once they’ve adjusted to the Nelson-led offense. I’ve said it before, I don’t think Heaps would have a great game coming off the bench, so with Riley starting, Doman’s got to have a great gameplan for him.

Nelson. Riley had an amazing first half against SJSU last week. He threw for three touchdowns and at one point had a +330 passer rating. In the second half, the Cougars managed only two field goals, but it was more than enough to beat the Spartans. Riley is an all or nothing type of QB – the Cougars didn’t punt at all last game, either getting points or giving up a turnover. The Beavers will make Riley pay more for his mistakes, so he’ll have to make better decisions than he made against SJSU.

Receivers. This group has seen incremental improvement throughout the season, and really had some great moments last week. The highlight was a 40 yard TD grab by McKay Jacobson. A huge indicator for success in the passing game will be if the tight ends can be involved. Getting the ball to Wilson and Mathews early and often will be crucial.

The Rush Attack. Mike Alisa broke out last week with 91 yards rushing, and the team ended with 224 yards on the ground. If Nelson can rely on other runners like Alisa, and have open targets down field when he’s passing, it will free Nelson himself up to make even more running plays. The coaches love to reward performance, so I think Alisa will have the opportunity to repeat his great performance from last week.

Special Teams. Special teams determine field position, and field position wins close games. It takes pressure off of the defense and off the offense. Justin Sorensen has been great this season getting touchbacks on kickoffs, and he has been pretty good on his field goals as well. It would be a huge boost if Hoffman could break another big run, but I don’t think we’ll see any fireworks from him this week.

Bronco D. The Beavers actually have a decent passing attack, racking up an average of 280 yards through the air, and they add an extra 110 rushing yards. Unfortunately for them, all of those yards only translate to about 21 points per game. The Cougar defense will likely hold the Beavers well under 100 yards rushing, and will force them to win on their passing attack. This will put the pressure on BYU’s secondary to shut down the OSU receivers and really frustrate the Beaver offense.

Prediction

The Beavers are 1-4, but make no mistake, this isn’t San Jose State. The Cougars will have to play a better game this week, and I think this will be a close game, decided by which team wins the turnover battle. I think the Cougars win a thriller in Corvallis, 23-16.

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Week 6 Preview: San Jose State @ BYU

October 5, 2011

After a difficult opening schedule, the Cougars ought to be looking forward to facing a “less than elite” WAC team this week. But what should have been a ho-hum game has a certain degree of intrigue for Cougar fans and players alike, because of what happened against Utah State last week.

What we know about San Jose State (2-3, 1-1 WAC)San Jose State

San Jose State went 1-11 last season, 0-8 in the WAC. Let me repeat. 0-8 in THE WAC. Their lone win came in a close game against Southern Utah. On thing is certain regarding this team, they are getting better. After losing the first two games of the season to Pac 12 Stanford and UCLA, the Spartans improved in game three by being competitive with Nevada. The game still resulted in a loss, but the Spartans rebounded with wins against New Mexico State and Colorado State. They’ve already doubled their win total from last year, and they will be bringing their A-game for what appears to be a weakened BYU team.

What we know about BYU (3-2)

I don’t think anyone was feeling very good about the Cougars around halftime of the Utah State game, but those feelings were driven away when Riley Nelson engineered four drives late in the second half, two of which ended in touchdown passes. The last of those gave the Cougars the lead and the win with only 11 seconds remaining. This team is a hard-hitting, grind-it-out team. It is unknown who the starting quarterback will be next week, but the signs seem to be pointing to Riley Nelson. After a rough September, the Cougars will be happy to take on a less daunting October schedule, starting with SJSU.

Keys to the game

Doman. He stayed up in the box for the second game in a row, and it was also the second consecutive win for the team. I’m guessing that Doman will remain in the box for the rest of the season. From the box, he was able to read his quarterback enough to know that a change was needed, and made the call to put Riley in. Hopefully we can see the playbook open up against the Spartans.

Nelson (or Heaps). Riley entered the last game in the third quarter to relieve Jake Heaps. This was at a time when Jake had led the team to only 3 total points from the previous five drives. Riley came in and led the Cougars on four potential scoring drives. One resulted in a fumble (DiLuigi), one a missed FG, and two were for touchdown passes. Not all of his passes were pretty, but they were caught, and Riley proved that you can run up the middle in a two minute drill. It was amazing to watch, especially the final 96 yard game-winning drive. It will be interesting to see who starts, and how short of a leash they have. If either QB struggles, expect to see the other quickly.

Receivers. In the last game, eight different players recorded catches, and were led by Cody Hoffman, with 4 receptions for 68 yards and 1 TD from Nelson. I would love to see even more TE work, and some deep passes to the WRs. Hoffman and Apo should have an easier time of getting open, as this is the weakest defense they’ve seen so far.

The Rush Attack. Each of BYU’s three RBs had at least 40 yards in the game, and with Nelson, BYU rushed for 200 total yards in the game. SJSU opponents are averaging 186 rushing yards per game, so this should be a great team for the Cougar rushers to pile up the yards. At least one of them ought to rush for more than 100 yards this game.

Special Teams. Justin Sorensen missed what could have been a crucial field goal in game against Utah State – he went 2/3 overall. The miss was a 29 yarder. I know the guy’s got leg, but these short ones ought to be money in the bank. Cody Hoffman returned a kickoff for a touchdown against UCF, and if he gets a couple of opportunities for returns in this game, watch out, there just may be some fireworks.

Bronco D. By biggest complaint with the defense from last week? The 80 yard touchdown run they gave up on Utah State’s first play of the game. The San Jose State offense is simply overmatched here. The Spartans average 205 yards passing and 146 yards rushing. The BYU defense will, as usual, take away that running game, and force the Spartans to beat them through the air, and that will likely not get them very far. Prediction: The Cougar defense will cause 2 fumbles, get an interception, and injure at least one Spartan (clean hit).

Prediction

San Jose State is a team that’s improving, (and I hope BYU is too), but they are not on level to compete with BYU. The Cougars will run away with this game (first time this season!), and the final score will be 34-10. That would mean the highest offensive output, and the fewest points allowed in the whole season.

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BYU: Solving the Quarterback Dilemma

October 3, 2011

When Jake Heaps committed to BYU, he did so as the #1 quarterback prospect in his class.

2010

He came into Spring Camp in 2010, and showed that he was immediately able to compete with Riley Nelson for the starting job, but he did not clearly win it. Coaches delayed naming a starter. Throughout fall camp, coaches continued to struggle with the decision, and ultimately they decided to split the starting job between Jake Heaps and Riley Nelson.

Then the worst possible thing happened: it worked. Splitting the reps in practice, and alternating series’ in the game against Washington, BYU was able to defeat the PAC10 school 23-17. The quarterbacks each threw for 131 yards. Nelson did it with 6 fewer attempts, 2 fewer completions, and added two touchdowns, but both were competent. Thanks to the win, the coaches decided to keep the plan in motion.

The next week, Jake and Riley continued to split time at Air Force, but only through the first half. In the second half, when BYU was behind, Riley stayed in the game, but ended with a paltry 73 yards passing (he did have 95 yards rushing).

The loss at Air Force did not change the decision to play both quarterbacks, and the dual-QB system was kept in place for Florida State. In the second quarter, Riley Nelson was sacked and injured his non-throwing shoulder. He would be out the rest of the game, and season. Heaps took over in that game, and was able to score on consecutive drives, and bring the Cougars within 3. In the second half, the Seminoles would up their tally of sacks to a total of 8. Heaps ended the game 15/31 for 114 yards and 1 TD.

He was also the new starting quarterback for the Cougars.

The next few games were up and down struggles, with losses against Nevada, Utah State, and TCU, and close wins against SDSU and Wyoming. Heaps really came alive and had great success in blowout wins against UNLV, Colorado State, and New Mexico. He even played well against Utah, building an early lead. Even when Utah came back in the fourth quarter, Heaps stepped up and led the Cougars on a drive to put them in position to win the game. The attempted field goal was missed, however, and the Cougars fell short. Heaps, in my opinion, did not.

After the setback at Utah, Heaps and co. prepared for their bowl game against UTEP, and this game proved to be a huge night for Jake, as he tallied 264 yards passing and 4 touchdowns.

2011

Entering this season, Heaps was named the starter nice and early. The coaches wanted to avoid the costly mistake of splitting reps in practice, and definitely didn’t want to touch evenly splitting the game time. Everyone saw Heaps’ improvement throughout last season and it was generally assumed that he would continue to improve this year.

Unfortunately, just the opposite has been true. Heaps’ performance has been declining. Starting with the season opening win at Ole Miss, Jake’s completion percentage was 63.2. Each game since, it has diminished: 57.9, 54, 47.1, and 44% against Utah State. Even worse than his game averages, his season average when within 19 yards of the goal line, the “blue zone,” Heaps is only completing 33% of his passes.

Heaps started last week’s Utah State game well, leading the Cougars to ten early points on the first two drives, but could only come up with three points on the next five drives combined. With 5:08 remaining in the third quarter against Utah State, with the Cougars trailing 21-13, Jake Heaps was put on the bench, and Riley Nelson entered the game. What ensued was nothing short of amazing.

Riley seemed to re-energize the offense and the defense. Riley led four consecutive drives that could have led to points. The first ended in a missed field goal, and the third ended on a DiLuigi fumble. But drives two and four ended in Riley Nelson touchdown passes. The final scoring drive started at BYU’s own 4 yard line, and with only 2:36 remaining in the game. Many of the passes weren’t pretty, but they were caught. Riley’s runs weren’t pretty, but they were for first downs. Riley isn’t Heaps, and he won this game because of it.

So what?

Riley saved the game. Coaches and players acknowledge that, and coaches are even holding off naming a starter for the upcoming game against San Jose State until later this week. There has been plenty of discussion regarding which quarterback should start next week. I put up a poll on my site asking fans who they would start next week, and got an amazing 440 responses, with nearly 61% saying they would start Jake Heaps.

Each quarterback has plenty of upside, and plenty of down. Heaps has a rocket arm, but often uses it to overthrow his receivers. Riley has all the intangibles you could want and the grit to go in and get a win when you need it, but he isn’t the most accurate passer (though his throws are most often catchable). Many fans believe that given the opportunity to plan for Riley, other teams will render him ineffective. That certainly has been true of Heaps, especially in the second half of games.

Which leads me to my idea. Do you remember what Texas did to BYU? The BYU defense was so effective against the starter, Garrett Gilbert (2/8 for 8 yards and two INTs), that Texas brought in their backup(s), who we had not planned for, and they were able to come back and win the game.

This is what BYU just did to Utah State. The Aggies defense was more than a match for Heaps, and he was rendered ineffective by halftime. So the Cougars brought in Nelson. A different type of quarterback, to say the least. They were completely unprepared, and were on their heels until the game ended and they had lost.

For those that believe Jake Heaps is our future – I’ll concede that he does have one more year of eligibility than Nelson. I think Heaps may have been better served with a redshirt season and a mission than jumping in as a freshman and getting married, but he is what he is now. I don’t think Heaps is a closer. I have not seen him fight back and rise up this year – though there were glimpses of it last year.

So I propose this: start Heaps every game. Let him build his confidence. If he finds success, let him have it. But if drive after drive are stalling out, and it’s after halftime, with no sign of change – follow the Utah State model and bring in Riley Nelson. Think of him as a relief pitcher. He’s a game changer. He’s a game winner.

It worked for Texas against us, it worked for us against Utah State, and it will work for us in the future.

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